Bolivia vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
MEX
5 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 100 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
ECU
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 1
COL
39%
28%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
RSA
2 - 1
COL
25%
30%
45%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 4
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 2
COL
62%
22%
15%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |