Bolivia vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
7 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1949 |
ECU
3 - 2
COL
35%
22%
43%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -2 |