Bolivia vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1945 |
ARG
9 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
URU
7 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |