Bolivia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
HND
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ARG
2 - 2
CHI
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | +1 |