Bolivia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
ECU
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 1
VEN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
6 - 1
ARG
14%
24%
62%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
81%
13%
5%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
BRA
8%
19%
73%
|
100 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 3
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
RSA
96%
4%
0%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |