Bolivia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARG
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 3
HUN
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
HUN
6 - 0
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1979 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
83%
14%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1979 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
82%
14%
4%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
71%
16%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
49%
24%
28%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |