Bolivia vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
HND
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 2
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |