Bolivia vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 1
URY
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
GUY
84%
12%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
1 - 0
MTQ
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
0 - 1
CUB
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ATG
0 - 1
HTI
14%
21%
66%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
HTI
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |