Belarus vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BLR
2 - 1
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BLR
0 - 2
BGR
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
BLR
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 33 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
IRN
2 - 2
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ROU
2 - 0
TUR
65%
21%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ROU
2 - 0
SVN
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SVN
1 - 2
ROU
19%
25%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ROU
3 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 33 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
NED
0 - 0
ROU
64%
22%
15%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |