Belarus vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 0
BLR
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
POL
1 - 1
BLR
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 1
BLR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
PER
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
LUX
0 - 4
NED
13%
23%
64%
|
36 | 93 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
LUX
1 - 2
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 81 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
HUN
1 - 0
LUX
90%
7%
2%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
LUX
1 - 3
GRC
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |