Belarus vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ROU
5 - 3
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BLR
2 - 0
KAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 2
BLR
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
1 - 0
BLR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
KAZ
1 - 2
BLR
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 1
FRO
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
0 - 0
ALB
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 2
BLR
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
LTU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 1
LTU
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |