Belarus vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BLR
3 - 0
AND
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
BLR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
TUN
3 - 0
BLR
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FIN
2 - 2
BLR
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
GRC
1 - 0
BLR
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SMR
0 - 3
ALB
17%
20%
63%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CYM
0 - 3
ALB
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 0
GEO
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 2
LTU
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
0 - 1
TUR
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |