Belarus vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 2
POL
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ROU
2 - 2
BLR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BIH
1 - 0
BLR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 2
BIH
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 0
BGR
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
0 - 0
LBY
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LBY
1 - 0
MOZ
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
LBY
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LBY
3 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
LBY
3 - 2
BEN
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |