Bermuda vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
72.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
PAN
0 - 2
BMU
76%
18%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
BMU
1 - 4
PAN
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
BMU
2 - 0
NIC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
CRC
2 - 1
BMU
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
HTI
2 - 1
BMU
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
MEX
2 - 0
TTO
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ARG
4 - 0
MEX
57%
23%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
USA
0 - 3
MEX
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HTI
0 - 1
MEX
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |