Bermuda vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
USA
2 - 1
BMU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1989 |
TTO
0 - 1
BMU
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
TTO
1 - 1
BMU
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1982 |
CUB
2 - 1
BMU
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 1982 |
BMU
3 - 0
PAN
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
USA
0 - 2
CRC
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
TTO
0 - 1
USA
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
USA
2 - 1
BMU
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
USA
0 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |