WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 20-0
Bermuda vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
BMU
2 - 2
TTO
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
BMU
0 - 1
TTO
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
BMU
0 - 4
BRB
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
BMU
1 - 2
BRB
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
BMU
0 - 5
TTO
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MSR
1 - 3
DOM
24%
22%
54%
|
6 | 59 | 53 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
DOM
3 - 0
MSR
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 59 | 52 | -1 |