Bermuda vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BMU
1 - 5
MEX
8%
19%
73%
|
54 | 91 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
PAN
0 - 2
BMU
76%
18%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
BMU
1 - 4
PAN
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
BMU
2 - 0
NIC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
CRC
2 - 1
BMU
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AIA
0 - 5
GTM
2%
6%
93%
|
72 | 5 | 67 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 5
GTM
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
GTM
10 - 0
AIA
92%
7%
1%
|
72 | 5 | 67 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 0
GTM
10%
14%
75%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
GTM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |