Bermuda vs Brunei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GUF
3 - 0
BMU
53%
21%
26%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BMU
3 - 1
VCT
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BMU
1 - 1
BLZ
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BLZ
0 - 1
BMU
22%
20%
57%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
VCT
4 - 3
BMU
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brunei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRN
0 - 6
IDN
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
IDN
6 - 0
BRN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
10 - 0
BRN
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
KHM
5 - 1
BRN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 7
IDN
3%
10%
87%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | -1 |