Benin vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 0
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 1
BEN
89%
9%
2%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
MLI
1 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 1
LBY
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 2
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
0 - 1
RWA
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
4 - 2
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |