Benin vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
TOG
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GAB
0 - 2
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
3 - 1
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
32%
27%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
ALG
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |