Benin vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GHA
1 - 0
BEN
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ALG
2 - 1
BEN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
EGY
5 - 1
BEN
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
UGA
2 - 1
BEN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 2
ANG
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
TUN
4 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
MLI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
SDN
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 0
SDN
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |