Benin vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
BFA
4 - 2
BEN
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CMR
2 - 1
BEN
90%
8%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
TOG
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 3
EGY
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 0
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
SYR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |