Benin vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
BEN
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
BFA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |