Benin vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
TAN
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TAN
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
COD
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TAN
3 - 2
MAD
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
NIG
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |