Benin vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BEN
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
NIG
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
0 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 0
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 1
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
0 - 0
UGA
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 0
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |