Belgium vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1961 |
SUI
2 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
NED
6 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1961 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
34%
22%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SWE
4 - 0
SUI
87%
8%
4%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CSK
2 - 1
SWE
40%
22%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |