Belgium vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 2
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 3
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
FIN
2 - 4
BEL
45%
20%
35%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1953 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
35%
21%
44%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 4
HUN
53%
19%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1953 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |