Belgium vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.2%
1.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
TUR
1 - 3
BEL
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
WAL
1 - 2
BEL
31%
29%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
BEL
0 - 3
NED
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
SMR
0 - 3
BEL
10%
21%
69%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
SMR
0 - 6
NED
4%
14%
83%
|
50 | 94 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
NED
4 - 0
SMR
95%
5%
1%
|
50 | 95 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
TUR
7 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
SMR
0 - 3
BEL
10%
21%
69%
|
50 | 90 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
WAL
6 - 0
SMR
89%
8%
2%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |