Belgium vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SUI
5 - 2
BEL
27%
23%
49%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
ISL
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
51%
23%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
SUI
68%
19%
13%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ISL
0 - 3
BEL
14%
21%
65%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 0
RUS
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
RUS
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 0
TUR
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
RUS
0 - 0
SWE
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
RUS
5 - 1
CZE
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |