Belgium vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
NED
3 - 0
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
2 - 0
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
FRA
3 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
IRL
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 2
SUI
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ROU
0 - 0
HUN
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 2
BGR
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |