Belgium vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCO
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
BEL
2 - 0
DEN
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
SUN
4 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ROU
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |