Belgium vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 0
BEL
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1963 |
FRA
1 - 2
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ESP
1 - 2
BEL
79%
13%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 3
POR
62%
19%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1963 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
60%
19%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
POR
3 - 1
BGR
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
BGR
3 - 1
POR
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |