Belgium vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
87%
8%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
63%
18%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
SWE
3 - 3
POL
83%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TUR
2 - 3
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
POL
2 - 1
CSK
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1964 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |