Belgium vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
28.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
BEL
5 - 1
SWE
33%
21%
46%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1935 |
BEL
2 - 2
SUI
60%
19%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
43%
21%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 6
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 1
FRA
59%
18%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
ROU
4 - 1
POL
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
36%
21%
43%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
3 - 3
LVA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
POL
2 - 3
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |