Belgium vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1931 |
POR
3 - 2
BEL
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1931 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
BEL
4 - 2
NED
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1931 |
POL
2 - 3
ROU
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1931 |
LVA
0 - 5
POL
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1931 |
LVA
0 - 5
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
POL
0 - 4
CSK
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
POL
6 - 0
LVA
69%
16%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |