Belgium vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
ESP
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 0
YUG
43%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
6 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
7%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
FIN
1 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1969 |
LUX
2 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
53%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
POR
0 - 0
MEX
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
DEN
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |