Belgium vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
MNE
89%
9%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 2
BEL
45%
24%
31%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 0
BEL
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
SRB
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 1
KAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
LUX
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
LUX
6%
13%
81%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LUX
4 - 1
BIH
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +2 |