Belgium vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7%
1.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 3
TUR
57%
24%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SVK
1 - 1
BEL
28%
27%
45%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
LUX
0 - 2
BEL
13%
22%
65%
|
92 | 31 | 61 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 1
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
1 - 0
KGZ
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
4 - 1
TJK
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
GRC
2 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
3%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 3
KAZ
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
JOR
2 - 0
KAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |