Belgium vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 1
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
5 - 2
TUN
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 0
PAN
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 1
CRC
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 0
EGY
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 1
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
2 - 2
SEN
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 2
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 0
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |