Belgium vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
NED
6 - 7
BEL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 5
SCO
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
72%
15%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ITA
4 - 1
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ITA
0 - 0
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
POR
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |