Belgium vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ISL
0 - 2
BEL
22%
22%
57%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
FRA
3 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
6%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
ISL
0 - 2
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
73%
14%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
50%
21%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
ISL
2 - 1
DDR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +1 |