Belgium vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 1
ITA
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
80%
13%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
SCO
1 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FRA
1 - 0
ISL
62%
18%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
69%
16%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
53%
20%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1970 |
ISL
2 - 0
NOR
44%
21%
35%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |