Belgium vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
20%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
BEL
1 - 0
ROU
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 5
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FRA
6 - 3
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
FRA
8 - 0
ISL
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
FIN
2 - 1
ISL
56%
18%
26%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1955 |
ISL
3 - 2
USA
50%
19%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1955 |
ISL
0 - 4
DEN
44%
21%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 2
ISL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |