Belgium vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
39%
20%
41%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1947 |
POR
0 - 10
ENG
32%
21%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
SUI
1 - 0
ENG
31%
21%
49%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
ENG
3 - 0
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
72%
15%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
8 - 2
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |