Belgium vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
2 - 3
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BEL
2 - 4
IRL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 2
AUT
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 5
ENG
28%
22%
51%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
ENG
1 - 5
SCO
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1927 |
ENG
1 - 2
WAL
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
NIR
2 - 0
ENG
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1927 |
FRA
0 - 6
ENG
28%
22%
50%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |