Belgium vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1984 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
65%
22%
14%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
BEL
0 - 1
BRD
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1983 |
SUI
3 - 1
BEL
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
SCO
1 - 1
BEL
54%
26%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1984 |
HUN
1 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
HUN
0 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
TUR
0 - 6
HUN
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
YUG
2 - 1
HUN
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
HUN
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |