Belgium vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLV
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
0 - 1
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
BGR
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROU
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
4 - 1
HUN
63%
19%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
HUN
10 - 1
SLV
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
HUN
1 - 2
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
HUN
2 - 3
AUT
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
69%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |