Belgium vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
59.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
BEL
0 - 1
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
BEL
1 - 3
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
1 - 0
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 4
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
HUN
2 - 2
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1956 |
LBN
1 - 4
HUN
16%
17%
67%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
TUR
3 - 1
HUN
19%
18%
63%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
HUN
2 - 0
ITA
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |