WC Play Offs Final
Global 2-2
Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
POL
0 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 0
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 0
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
ALB
2 - 0
BEL
2%
25%
73%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1984 |
GRC
0 - 0
BEL
33%
30%
38%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
NED
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
HUN
0 - 1
NED
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
NED
7 - 1
CYP
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
CYP
0 - 1
NED
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |