Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
LUX
0 - 5
BEL
32%
20%
48%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 0
SUI
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 3
IRL
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
DDR
4 - 3
NED
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
NED
1 - 2
CSK
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
AUT
2 - 1
NED
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
NED
2 - 2
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |